Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 5.856266 6.433343 7.068852 7.825601 8.708753 9.715078 10.960482
2024-10-27 4.863079 5.609944 6.496588 7.645151 9.121980 10.999061 13.638744
2024-11-03 4.327592 5.150042 6.175310 7.581748 9.519945 12.196145 16.372347
2024-11-10 4.139013 5.065559 6.273415 8.022731 10.604138 14.488399 21.291497
2024-11-17 3.900848 4.876438 6.192679 8.182645 11.288865 16.321796 26.124442
2024-11-24 3.612103 4.584181 5.928513 8.026251 11.443112 17.311665 29.801381
2024-12-01 3.406663 4.385083 5.770193 7.998458 11.783824 18.684488 34.845556
2024-12-08 3.191286 4.152533 5.538064 7.820853 11.831637 19.512226 39.063103
2024-12-15 3.039519 3.999087 5.408113 7.788296 12.123190 20.886189 45.454194
2024-12-22 2.902026 3.855930 5.280087 7.740941 12.374316 22.237227 52.722196
2024-12-29 2.833818 3.810395 5.298208 7.942135 13.134069 24.958988 66.861663
2025-01-05 2.679665 3.624393 5.078242 7.698552 12.956358 25.366926 72.860143
2025-01-12 2.516000 3.424643 4.838243 7.425508 12.742165 25.807868 80.577379
2025-01-19 2.383912 3.268325 4.661441 7.256918 12.741491 26.889258 93.512896
2025-01-26 2.284806 3.157289 4.550555 7.198187 12.972802 28.736036 114.690962
2025-02-02 2.274571 3.185786 4.675550 7.606119 14.370588 34.905049 188.231225
2025-02-09 2.221600 3.141268 4.670184 7.753839 15.178023 39.674615 285.181694
2025-02-16 2.128604 3.025606 4.530747 7.609371 15.202555 41.531211 364.538117
2025-02-23 2.060128 2.946948 4.451905 7.583687 15.544090 44.968164 532.559753
2025-03-02 1.977262 2.840081 4.315099 7.419476 15.469853 46.560567 701.911750
2025-03-09 1.918419 2.770950 4.242981 7.389360 15.778488 50.274316 1148.744945
2025-03-16 1.861713 2.702730 4.168184 7.345546 16.040789 54.040733 2084.011486
2025-03-23 1.837438 2.688790 4.193708 7.531626 17.060584 63.250365 10723.395769